President Donald Trump could spark a stronger US dollar

The dramatic ascendance of Donald Trump as the apparent Republican nominee over the past 24 hours has been accompanied by a 0.4% rally in the Bloomberg dollar index (BBDXY).

May 6,2016

Services sector data and the outlook for the pound

The Bank of England will surely have to take note of the fact UK prices are rising at a rate that is subduing economic growth.

May 5,2016

Construction PMI trends

We have had two notable data releases from the UK economy already in May - and both have proved to be sterling-negative.

May 4,2016

Manufacturing data undermines Pound's recovery

The pound has fallen against the euro but maintains recent strength elsewhere  as the first data release of May is unequivocally negative.

May 3,2016

UK GDP data week ahead

This week, Wednesday’s preliminary estimate of Q1 GDP takes centre-stage for the British pound on the data front, and some slowdown from Q4’s 0.6% quarterly rise looks inevitable.

April 27,2016

UK retail sales disappoint

Another set of underwhelming economic stats are released adding to evidence that the UK economy is slowing down.

April 21,2016

UK inflation data and escape velocity

The British pound’s outlook rests with two factors, in our view: The EU referendum in June and UK inflation data.

April 12,2016

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