Pound to Japanese Yen Forecast and Live Exchange Rate
The pound to japanese yen forecast from investment banks and market pricing, with the live GBP/JPY rate, charts and daily analysis
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What's Driving GBP/JPY
- 🇯🇵 Pound Sterling Live forecasts GBP/JPY's recovery extending to its falling 100-day average as the Bank of England moves to hike and the Bank of Japan holds
- GBP/JPY has recovered more than four yen since September's low, with that floor holding again on a retest at the start of October
- UK unemployment fell to 4.7% against a 5.0% consensus and regular pay beat at 3.7%, with markets attaching a 93% probability to a 5 November Bank of England hike to 4%
- Markets price less than 5% odds of a Bank of Japan hike on 30 October with the policy rate at 1.25%, and ANZ expects 25bp increases in December and March and nothing beyond
- Carry trades have resumed, leaving JPY the weakest G10 currency on 19 October as USD/JPY rose to 158.50
- Société Générale: speculative GBP shorts have gone too far, leaving scope for a covering rally once the 28 October Budget clears
- 📊 The 100-day average at 213.47 is the GBP/JPY level to clear, and because it is falling the pair need not cover the full gap to meet it
- A failure at the 100-day would return GBP/JPY to the 207.00 support line into the Budget
- 🔭 Pound Sterling Live's medium-term forecast is for a daily close above the 100-day to turn September's GBP/JPY decline into a base, with the Bank of England's rate path beyond November deciding whether it holds
- Brown Brothers Harriman: the Bank of England may not need to tighten as much as markets anticipate, a drag on GBP
- Deutsche Bank: JPY is one of the cleaner defensive trades available, with USD judged to have peaked on stretched positioning
For the latest analysis visit the JPY News Hub →
| One Week | 209.9541 |
| One Month | 209.5786 |
| Three Months | 208.5311 |
| Six Months | 206.9895 |
| One Year | 203.7605 |
| Date | Open | Close | High | Low | Mid |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri 23 Oct | 210.0790 | 209.8140 | 210.4860 | 209.1290 | 209.9465 |
| Thu 22 Oct | 211.8210 | 210.0800 | 211.9880 | 209.4740 | 210.9505 |
| Wed 21 Oct | 211.6270 | 211.8190 | 211.9850 | 211.4030 | 211.7230 |
| Tue 20 Oct | 210.9000 | 211.6250 | 211.7460 | 210.7910 | 211.2625 |
| Mon 19 Oct | 210.4920 | 210.9000 | 211.0860 | 210.2910 | 210.6960 |
| Fri 16 Oct | 209.7530 | 210.5950 | 210.9640 | 209.6140 | 210.1740 |
| Thu 15 Oct | 208.8960 | 209.7540 | 209.9580 | 208.5940 | 209.3250 |
| Wed 14 Oct | 209.8410 | 208.8960 | 210.3070 | 208.3680 | 209.3685 |
| Tue 13 Oct | 209.5260 | 209.8390 | 209.9290 | 208.9000 | 209.6825 |
| Mon 12 Oct | 209.7950 | 209.5250 | 209.9860 | 209.3700 | 209.6600 |
| Fri 9 Oct | 208.8710 | 209.4970 | 209.7410 | 208.7620 | 209.1840 |
| Thu 8 Oct | 208.8810 | 208.8690 | 209.3910 | 208.2170 | 208.8750 |
| Wed 7 Oct | 209.8980 | 208.8820 | 210.2060 | 208.6830 | 209.3900 |
| Tue 6 Oct | 208.8090 | 209.8970 | 210.0420 | 208.6540 | 209.3530 |
| Mon 5 Oct | 209.1090 | 208.8080 | 209.3160 | 208.2420 | 208.9585 |
| Fri 2 Oct | 208.5860 | 209.0130 | 209.1070 | 207.7180 | 208.7995 |
| Thu 1 Oct | 208.7960 | 208.5850 | 209.9920 | 207.6080 | 208.6905 |
Pound to Japanese Yen Forecast: 208.53 in Three Months
These predictions are based on the forward points being traded in currency markets. These contracts are widely used by businesses, investors, and financial institutions for hedging or speculative purposes. The pricing of forwards provides valuable insights into market expectations for the future direction of currency pairs.
In one month the Pound-Japanese Yen exchange rate is forecast to be at 209.58, according to market-implied pricing. In three months, the rate is expected to be at 208.53. In six months the projected rate is at 206.99. In one year the rate is expected to be at 203.76.
Quarterly GBP/JPY targets from Goldman Sachs, Barclays, JP Morgan, Deutsche Bank, ING and more — updated weekly.