Euro to Pound Forecast and Live Exchange Rate
The euro to pound forecast from investment banks and market pricing, with the live EUR/GBP rate, charts and daily analysis
Live Rate
1 EUR = 0.8371 GBP ▼ -0.1800%
High 0.8396
Low 0.8370
Open 0.8386
Prev. Close 0.8386
One Week
-0.93%
0.8429 H · 0.8370 L
One Month
-2.74%
0.8547 H · 0.8370 L
One Year
-3.48%
0.8789 H · 0.8370 L
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Updated
What's Driving EUR/GBP
- 🇬🇧 Pound Sterling Live forecasts EUR/GBP's downtrend extending as UK labour data cements a November Bank of England hike
- EUR/GBP fell on 20 October after the UK jobs report, a sterling-specific move, putting the 19 October low back in play
- UK unemployment fell to 4.7% in the three months to August against a 5.0% consensus, and regular pay growth quickened to 3.7%, beating the 3.6% expected
- Markets already priced better than 90% odds of a Bank of England hike on 5 November, and the jobs beat makes it harder for the Bank to step back
- 📊 0.84, reached on 19 October, is first EUR/GBP support, with a daily close beneath it opening the next leg
- 0.8443, the EUR/GBP equivalent of the 13 October GBP/EUR high, is first resistance on any bounce
- 🔭 Pound Sterling Live's medium-term forecast is for EUR/GBP to extend towards Société Générale's next objective at 0.8370 while UK rate support holds and EUR carries French and energy burdens
- September UK inflation on 21 October, consensus 3.4%, is the next test, and another beat would extend EUR/GBP's losses
- Below the headline, UK vacancies fell to 691,000, the lowest outside the pandemic since 2014, and total pay growth slowed to 3.7%, its weakest since 2020
- The 28 October Budget remains the event capable of removing GBP from the trade
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Daily Euro to Pound Statistics
Select month:
| Date | Open | Close | High | Low | Mid |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu 22 Oct | 0.8386 | 0.8371 | 0.8396 | 0.8370 | 0.8379 |
| Wed 21 Oct | 0.8399 | 0.8386 | 0.8403 | 0.8372 | 0.8393 |
| Tue 20 Oct | 0.8427 | 0.8399 | 0.8429 | 0.8385 | 0.8413 |
| Mon 19 Oct | 0.8400 | 0.8427 | 0.8429 | 0.8397 | 0.8414 |
| Fri 16 Oct | 0.8452 | 0.8432 | 0.8455 | 0.8419 | 0.8442 |
| Thu 15 Oct | 0.8456 | 0.8452 | 0.8478 | 0.8446 | 0.8454 |
| Wed 14 Oct | 0.8448 | 0.8456 | 0.8462 | 0.8427 | 0.8452 |
| Tue 13 Oct | 0.8446 | 0.8448 | 0.8458 | 0.8444 | 0.8447 |
| Mon 12 Oct | 0.8455 | 0.8446 | 0.8466 | 0.8445 | 0.8450 |
| Fri 9 Oct | 0.8475 | 0.8465 | 0.8485 | 0.8459 | 0.8470 |
| Thu 8 Oct | 0.8474 | 0.8475 | 0.8487 | 0.8467 | 0.8474 |
| Wed 7 Oct | 0.8482 | 0.8474 | 0.8486 | 0.8448 | 0.8478 |
| Tue 6 Oct | 0.8488 | 0.8482 | 0.8493 | 0.8477 | 0.8485 |
| Mon 5 Oct | 0.8504 | 0.8488 | 0.8506 | 0.8458 | 0.8496 |
| Fri 2 Oct | 0.8520 | 0.8499 | 0.8527 | 0.8497 | 0.8509 |
| Thu 1 Oct | 0.8542 | 0.8520 | 0.8547 | 0.8506 | 0.8531 |