Macro Hive thinks the Federal Reserve could keep hiking interest rates to a much higher peak (5.25% or more) than the market currently prices (3.5-4.0%).
June 28,2022
UK house prices will fall in the second half of 2022 as a surge in mortgage rates continues over the summer says Pantheon Macroeconomics.
September 21,2022
War, surging commodity prices and China's Covid outbreak are the main drivers of a sharp economic slowdown that could result in a "mild" UK recession taking hold in 2023 says KPMG whose economists cut forecasts for UK economic growth in 2022 and 2023.
June 27,2022
The Bank of England's basic interest rate should be set as high as 10% given the scale of UK inflation, according to a major insurer.
June 24,2022
Barclays says the UK economy will avoid recession, however economists at Berenberg Bank say the UK could already be in the grip of a recession that will last for four quarters.
June 23,2022
Goldman Sachs, Deutsche Bank raise Bank Rate forecasts, but NatWest Markets say they are misreading the Bank of England's guidance.
June 21,2022
Fears of a 1970's-style general strike are rising and if the government and employers eventually yield then the public sector could see a major wage impulse over coming months.
June 20,2022
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