Exchange Rate Forecasts

The Pound-to-Euro exchange rate edged lower last week but is likely to close the gap over the coming days with a swift reclamation of 1.15 leading to a choppy but ascending range throughout this quarter.

The Canadian Dollar outperformed on Thursday having notched up gains over all majors including Pound Sterling and may be on course for even further gains, according to multiple forecasters who’ve been cheered by the latest guidance from the Bank of Canada.

The Euro-Dollar rate was holding above 1.20 on Tuesday after a strong start to the week but has been tipped as a buy at Goldman Sachs and forecast to reach pandemic era highs of 1.25 over the next three months.

Foreign exchange analysts at Credit Suisse are backing a stronger Canadian Dollar in 2021 as they tell clients they are looking through the current rebound in Covid-19 infections and expect the Bank of Canada to continue 'tapering' its quantitative easing programme.

The 'reflation trade' keeps the British Pound underpinned says Fawad Razaqzada, Market Analyst at ThinkMarkets.com.

The Euro-to-Dollar exchange rate entered the new week with the 1.20 level and above in its crosshairs, although could be set to cool its heels ahead of Thursday’s European Central Bank (ECB) monetary policy decision.

GBP/USD enters the new week 0.30% higher at 1.3895 and will look to make Monday its sixth consecutive daily advance.

Foreign exchange strategists are looking for a recent decline in the value of the British Pound against the Euro to accelerate and they have recommended buying EUR/GBP as a result.

The Pound-to-Euro exchange rate has risen from April lows but may face choppy conditions this week as Sterling and the single currency navigate an economic data deluge and European Central Bank policy update.

Analysis from ABN AMRO shows the Dollar's recent weak patch is likely to be temporary, but when the currency does find its form again strength will likely be more modest than was the case previously.

Technical analysis from Credit Suisse shows the Euro's recent rally against the U.S. Dollar is closing in on levels that could well prompt a reversal.

The Pound-to-Dollar rate edged higher Wednesday having regained its composure following last week's corrective sell-off, although some analysts say it has scope to recover even further in the coming weeks. 

2021 is still likely to see the Australian Dollar appreciate says analysts at Australian lender Westpac, however a resumption of gains are tipped to be a feature of the second half of the year.

Foreign exchange analysts at two leading global investment banks are looking through the Euro's recent weakness and tell clients they see the single currency rebounding in tandem with an acceleration in the EU vaccination programme.

The Euro's decline against the Dollar is not yet over according to new research, however the Eurozone's single currency will nevertheless still stage a recovery into year end.

"Potential positive GBP seasonality in April may help EURGBP to break 0.85 resistance level" - Barclays.

The Pound-to-Euro exchange rate reached one-year highs this week, at or above which it's likely to remain in the months ahead, according to new forecasts from Rabobank.

The British Pound is up 4.50% against the Euro already this year courtesy of a combination of faded Brexit-linked risks and expectations for a strong vaccine-lead economic rebound over coming months, developments that underpin a strong technical picture that continues to advocate for further gains.

The Euro is expected by a number of analysts to extend its period of weakness against the U.S. Dollar as delays to the rollout of the EU rescue fund combine with a slow vaccination rollout programme and a rapid spread of covid-19 to cast a shadow over the Eurozone.

The New Zealand Dollar is forecast to weaken modestly in the short-term and trend lower over the year by foreign exchange analysts at Barclays, who say the currency faces headwinds from the RBNZ and uncertainty about New Zealand's economic recovery.